Betting prediction for Napoli vs Empoli

Napoli is one of those teams that really frustrates me. Seems like any time I put action on them they disappoint me in the worst possible way. 17 shots and 1 late goal for example.

This time v Empoli though I think they get us to 4 goals.

More teams are breathing down their back and their need to win is greater. I expect a great performance.

They are 4-2 over 2.5 in their 6 home games with 3 of those games seeing 6 or more combined goals. Their last home game was a 3-3 draw v Cagliari.

If there is worry its that Empoli is 4-2 under in 6 road games but they have conceded in 5 of them including 2 twice and 3 once. Also they have scored in 5 of their 6 road games including 5 straight.

4 of Napoli’s last 5 at home v Bottom 6 teams have seen at least 3 goals with two seeing 6 goals. Their last 3 home games v promoted clubs were 4-0 and 5-1 wins with a 3-3 draw most recently v Palermo on match day 2.

Napoli average 22 shots at goal at home and concede 11. Empoli concede 14.5 shots against on average away from home so I expect many chances in this game.

Napoli have scored at least 2 goals in 9 of their last 10 home games and with Empoli expected to go up top in their favorite 4-3-1-2 formation I expect chances at both ends with the net filled at least 4 times. Napoli’s weakness is defense (conceding 16 goals in 13 matches).